AVERAGE TARGET PRICE – R$12.68
| (R$ million, except otherwise specified) | 2024A | Δ Y/Y | 2025E | Δ Y/Y | 2026E | Δ Y/Y | 2027E | Δ Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Members (thousand) | 8,924 | 3.6% | 9,212 | 3.2% | 9,561 | 3.8% | 9,883 | 3.4% |
| Net revenue | 2,270 | 5.9% | 2,433 | 7.2% | 2,588 | 6.4% | 2,731 | 5.5% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 694 | 7.3% | 772 | 11.2% | 818 | 5.8% | 866 | 5.9% |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin (%) | 30.6 | 0.4 p.p. | 31.7 | 1.1 p.p. | 31.6 | -0.2 p.p. | 31.7 | 0.1 p.p. |
| Net income | 534 | -0.6 p.p. | 581 | 8.9% | 602 | 3.6% | 615 | 2.1% |
TARGET PRICE – R$13.00 (Neutral)
| (R$ million, except otherwise specified) | 2024A | Δ Y/Y | 2025E | Δ Y/Y | 2026E | Δ Y/Y | 2027E | Δ Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Members (thousand) | 8,924 | 3.6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Net revenue | 2,270 | 5.9% | 2,442 | – | 2,635 | 7.9% | 2,845 | 8.0% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 694 | 7.3% | 807 | 16.3% | 886 | 9.8% | 965 | 8.9% |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin (%) | 30.6 | 0.4 p.p. | 33.1 | 8.2% | 33.6 | 1.5% | 33.9 | 0.9% |
| Net income | 534 | -0.6 p.p. | 595 | 11.5% | 628 | 5.5% | 680 | 8.4% |
TARGET PRICE – R$13.00 (Neutral)
| (R$ million, except otherwise specified) | 2024A | Δ Y/Y | 2025E | Δ Y/Y | 2026E | Δ Y/Y | 2027E | Δ Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Members (thousand) | 8,924 | 3.6% | 9,142 | 2.4% | 9,355 | 2.3% | 9,566 | 2.3% |
| Net revenue | 2,270 | 5.9% | 2,439 | 7.4% | 2,595 | 6.4% | 2,745 | 5.8% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 694 | 7.3% | 779 | 12.2% | 790 | 1.4% | 833 | 5.4% |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin (%) | 30.6 | 0.4 p.p. | 31.9 | 4.2% | 30.5 | -4.4% | 30.3 | -0.7% |
| Net income | 534 | -0.6 p.p. | 575 | 7.7% | 588 | 2.3% | 580 | -1.4% |
TARGET PRICE – R$11.50 (Sell)
| (R$ million, except otherwise specified) | 2024A | Δ Y/Y | 2025E | Δ Y/Y | 2026E | Δ Y/Y | 2027E | Δ Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Members (thousand) | 8,924 | 3.6% | 9,224 | 3.4% | 9,512 | 3.1% | 9,957 | 4.7% |
| Net revenues | 2,270 | 5.9% | 2,424 | 6.8% | 2,581 | 6.5% | 2,722 | 5.5% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 694 | 7.3% | 761 | 9.7% | 793 | 4.2% | 840 | 5.9% |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin (%) | 30.6 | 0.4 p.p. | 31.4 | 2.6% | 30.7 | -2.2% | 30.9 | 0.7% |
| Net income | 534 | -0.6 p.p. | 569 | 6.6% | 596 | 4.7% | 606 | 1.7% |
TARGET PRICE – R$14.00 (Neutral)
| (R$ million, except otherwise specified) | 2024A | Δ Y/Y | 2025E | Δ Y/Y | 2026E | Δ Y/Y | 2027E | Δ Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Members (thousand) | 8,924 | 3.6% | 9,323 | 4.5% | 9,756 | 4.6% | – | – |
| Net revenue | 2,270 | 5.9% | 2,453 | 8.1% | 2,662 | 8.5% | – | – |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 694 | 7.3% | 760 | 9.5% | 838 | 10.3% | – | – |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin (%) | 30.6 | 0.4 p.p. | 31.0 | 1.3% | 31.5 | 1.6% | – | – |
| Net income | 534 | -0.6 p.p. | 601 | 12.5% | 660 | 9.8% | – | – |
TARGET PRICE – R$11.00 (Sell)
| (R$ million, except otherwise specified) | 2024A | Δ Y/Y | 2025E | Δ Y/Y | 2026E | Δ Y/Y | 2027E | Δ Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Members (thousand) | 8,924 | 3.6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Net revenue | 2,270 | 5.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 694 | 7.3% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin (%) | 30.6 | 0.4 p.p. | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Net income | 534 | -0.6 p.p. | – | – | – | – | – | – |
TARGET PRICE – R$13.00 (Neutral)
| (R$ million, except otherwise specified) | 2024A | Δ Y/Y | 2025E | Δ Y/Y | 2026E | Δ Y/Y | 2027E | Δ Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Members (thousand) | 8,924 | 3.6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Net revenue | 2,270 | 5.9% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 694 | 7.3% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin (%) | 30.6 | 0.4 p.p. | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Net income | 534 | -0.6 p.p. | – | – | – | – | – | – |
TARGET PRICE – R$12.00 (Neutral)
| (R$ million, except otherwise specified) | 2024A | Δ Y/Y | 2025E | Δ Y/Y | 2026E | Δ Y/Y | 2027E | Δ Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Members (thousand) | 8,924 | 3.6% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Net revenue | 2,270 | 5.9% | 2,446 | 7.4% | 2,528 | 3.7% | 2,614 | 3.4% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 694 | 7.3% | 742 | 6.9% | 764 | 3.0% | 788 | 3.1% |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin (%) | 30.6 | 0.4 p.p. | 30.5 | -0.3% | 30.2 | -0.9% | 30.1 | -0.3% |
| Net income | 534 | -0.6 p.p. | 569 | 6.6% | 590 | 3.7% | 595 | 0.8% |
TARGET PRICE – R$14.30 (Neutral)
| (R$ million, except otherwise specified) | 2024A | Δ Y/Y | 2025E | Δ Y/Y | 2026E | Δ Y/Y | 2027E | Δ Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Members (thousand) | 8,924 | 3.6% | 9,174 | 2.8% | 9,568 | 4.3% | 9,967 | 4.2% |
| Net revenue | 2,270 | 5.9% | 2,432 | 7.1% | 2,587 | 6.4% | 2,758 | 6.6% |
| Adjusted EBITD | 694 | 7.3% | 790 | 13.8% | 814 | 3.0% | 861 | 5.8% |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin (%) | 30.6 | 0.4 p.p. | 32.5 | 6.2% | 31.5 | -3.1% | 31.2 | -1.0% |
| Net income | 534 | -0.6 p.p. | 573 | 7.3% | 575 | 0.3% | 603 | 4.9% |
TARGET PRICE – R$13.00 (Neutral)
| (R$ million, except otherwise specified) | 2024A | Δ Y/Y | 2025E | Δ Y/Y | 2026E | Δ Y/Y | 2027E | Δ Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Members (thousand) | 8,924 | 3.6% | 9,191 | 3.0% | 9,631 | 4.8% | 10,039 | 4.2% |
| Net revenue | 2,270 | 5.9% | 2,434 | 7.2% | 2,595 | 6.6% | 2,777 | 7.0% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 694 | 7.3% | 793 | 14.3% | 860 | 8.4% | 931 | 8.3% |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin (%) | 30.6 | 0.4 p.p. | 32.6 | 6.5% | 33.1 | 1.5% | 33.5 | 1.2% |
| Net income | 534 | -0.6 p.p. | 591 | 10.7% | 602 | 1.9% | 650 | 8.0% |
TARGET PRICE – R$10.00 (Sell)
| (R$ million, except otherwise specified) | 2024A | Δ Y/Y | 2025E | Δ Y/Y | 2026E | Δ Y/Y | 2027E | Δ Y/Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Members (thousand) | 8,924 | 3.6% | 9,220 | 3.3% | 9,546 | 3.5% | 9,886 | 3.6% |
| Net revenue | 2,270 | 5.9% | 2,404 | 5.9% | 2,523 | 5.0% | 2,654 | 5.2% |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 694 | 7.3% | 747 | 7.6% | 795 | 6.4% | 841 | 5.8% |
| Adjusted EBITDA margin (%) | 30.6 | 0.4 p.p. | 31.1 | 1.6% | 31.5 | 1.3% | 31.7 | 0.6% |
| Net income | 534 | -0.6 p.p. | 577 | 8.1% | 581 | 0.7% | 592 | 1.9% |
